US Dollar pushes pound sterling (GBP) to 1.8002 low - buy or sell GBP against the USD?
Mon, Sep 1, 2008
At the rate things are going, the GBP could conceivably dip into the 1.79XX range in trades against the US dollar. Presently the GBP/USD low is 1.8002. If it dips under 1.8000 it will be the first time since 2006 that the GBP/USD traded below 1.8000.
Analysts expect the GBP/USD to continue declining and to soon fall well below the 1.79XX range, especially in light of comments made by UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling that the UK is facing what could be called “arguably the worse” economic crisis in the last 60 years, and his estimation that the weight of the situation could be “profound and long-lasting”.
So what would be a wiser action to take with regard to the GBP against the USD? Well, the US dollar has been holding strong for the last few weeks, but with Hurricane season underway and Hurricane Gustav presently speeding towards the US Gulf coast, oil prices could become a factor, at least temporarily, in possibly slowing down the US dollar. But will the price of oil by itself be enough to trigger a dramatic falling off in value of the USD against the GBP? Analysts don’t seem to think so. And with the expectation being for the GBP to continue weakening and to stay weak for some time, it might be foolhardy to buy the GBP unless you’re a day trader.


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